The Race in 2010
Even before Governor Sonny Perdue takes the oath of office for his second term as Governor, there are whispers about the 2010 governor's race in Georgia. Between now and then, Americans will elect a new President (and Vice President), and the Democratic Majority in Congress will face its first test. Yet, 2010 gubernatorial politics hangs in the air as the Georgia political parties and potential candidates maneuver in a non-election year to create the foundation for a statewide campaign still on the distant horizon.
For the political parties, the challenges in Georgia could not be more different. Republicans have an oversupply of potential candidates while the Democratic cupboard is largely bare. Georgia Republicans must cope with too many cooks in the kitchen while Democrats search for enough.
Georgia Republicans are eager to show their national counterparts the way, while Georgia Democrats are reticent to yield to their national party in spite of a tidal wave of victories around the country. And so, the maneuverings begin.
For the Republicans, there are four 'big dogs' (as some might say). They are House Speaker Glenn Richardson, Lieutenant Governor-elect Casey Cagle, Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine, and Congressman Lynn Westmoreland. Each has proven the ability to compete at the highest level.
Speaker Richardson has once again led the Georgia House Republicans to majority status in the Georgia General Assembly. He has made it look easy, but his team's successes are the product of hard work, steady focus, and good discipline. The over 100 Republicans in the House Conference fully understand the value and importance of his leadership. Look for them to fall in line as he shapes the political landscape with an eye toward 2010.
Lieutenant Governor-elect Casey Cagle proved that he can win statewide - both in a primary and in a General Election. Georgia Senators lined up behind him in 2006 and there is no reason to believe they will not do the same again in 2010. By re-assuming the traditional powers of the Office of the Lieutenant Governor, he will be a player when the General Assembly convenes in January 2007. This will make him a player in 2010.
Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine is a proven vote-getter. His populist approach toward the Office of the Insurance Commissioner has resonated with Georgia voters. His office touches a lot of people on a day-in, day-out basis. The simple accumulation of goodwill combined with the success of his statewide campaigns has made him one of the most formidable public officials on the Georgia political scene today.
Finally, Congressman Lynn Westmoreland is a conservative favorite. He has remained true to his core philosophy through good times and bad. His overwhelming reelection in the face of big Republican Congressional losses (after giving up some of his district in an effort to help win other seats in Georgia) has not gone unnoticed. In a primary, his conservative credentials could prove decisive. As a Republican nominee for governor, Georgia Democrats could only run from the left.
For Georgia Democrats, there are some interesting possibilities. As part of the new Democratic majority, Congressman Jim Marshall could assemble the resources and credentials to compete statewide. The question is can he wait until 2010? Continuing to fight off Republican challengers in his increasingly Republican district is probably not an option for him. On the other hand, he is often mentioned as a possible contender to Georgia Senator Saxby Chambliss in 2008. The choice between challenging an incumbent United States Senator and waiting two more years for an incumbent-free gubernatorial race will likely come down to the lay of the political land when 2008 rolls around.